Wednesday, 5 June 2013

LEVERAGED BUYOUTS

Leveraged Buyouts Definition/Description
Ø     A leveraged buyout (or LBO, or highly leveraged transaction (HLT) occurs when an investor, typically a financial sponsor acquires a controlling interest in a company's equity and where a significant percentage of the purchase price is financed through leverage (Debt).
Ø     The Debt raised (by issuing bonds or securing a loan) is ultimately secured upon the acquisition target and also looks to the cash flows of the acquisition target to make interest and principal payments.
Ø   Acquisition debt in an LBO is usually non-recourse to the financial sponsor and to the equity fund that the financial sponsor manages.
Ø   The amount of debt used to finance a transaction as a percentage of the purchase price for a leverage buyout target, varies according to the financial condition and history of the acquisition target, market conditions, the willingness of lenders to extend credit. Typically the debt portion of a LBO ranges from 50%-85% of the purchase price, but in some cases debt may represent upwards of 95% of purchase price.
Ø   To finance LBO's, private-equity firms usually issue some combination of syndicated loans and high yield bonds.
         Small group of investors borrows money to buy the stock of a public corporation.
         LBO transaction is expected to be reversed with a public offering within three to five years.
Sometimes only a segment, a division or subdivision of the firm is bought




         Buyout:
An LBO where management plays a significant role.
         Buyin:
An LBO where outside management plays a significant role.
Leveraged Buyouts History & Market Evolution
Ø  The first leveraged buyout may have been the purchase of two companies: Pan-Atlantic and Waterman  companies (steamship companies) in 1955 by McLean Industries.
§      McLean borrowed $42 million and raised an additional $7 million through an issue of preferred stock.
§      When the deal closed, $20 million of Waterman cash and assets were used to retire $20 million of the loan debt. 
§      The Debt raised (by issuing bonds or securing a loan) is ultimately secured upon the acquisition target and also looks to the cash flows of the acquisition target to make interest and principal payments.
Ø      The use of publicly traded holding companies as investment vehicles to acquire portfolios of investments in corporate assets was a relatively new trend in the 1960s, popularized by the likes of Warren Buffett via Berkshire Hathaway and Victor Posner via DWG Corporation.
Ø      The leveraged buyout boom of the 1980s was conceived by a number of corporate financiers, most notably Jerome Kohlberg, Jr. and later his protégé Henry Kravis and his cousin George Roberts – both working for Bear Stearns – to create KKR.
 
Ø      In 1989, KKR closed in on a $31.1 billion dollar takeover of  RJR Nabisco. It was, at that time and for over 17 years, the largest leverage buyout in history. The event was chronicled in the book (and later the movie), Barbarians at the Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco.
Ø       Drexel Burnham Lambert was the investment bank most responsible for the boom in private equity during the 1980s due to its leadership in the issuance of high-yield debt.
Ø      Mega Deals of 2005-2007:  The combination of decreasing interest rates, loosening lending standards, creation of CLOs and regulatory changes for publicly traded companies (specifically the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.) would set the stage for the largest boom private equity had seen.
Ø  Capital Markets: Types of Financing
Ø  Ranks ahead of all other debt and equity capital in the business
Ø   Bank loans are typically structured in up to three tranches: Revolver, TL A and TL B.
Ø   The debt is usually secured on specific assets of the company, which means the lender can automatically acquire these assets if the company breaches its obligations under the relevant loan agreement; therefore it has the lowest cost of debt.
Ø   Typical Maturity 5-7 years

Ø    Senior Debt represent 45-60% of total Capital
Ø    Senior Debt Multiples represent 3.0x – 4.0x of historic EBITDA
Ø   Revolver and TL A (called Pro-rata facilities) are provided by traditional banks
Ø   Term Loan B (called institutional facility) is provided by non-banking institutions (CLOs, Insurance Co., Funds)


Ø  Capital Markets: Types of Financing
Subordinated Debt (Mezzanine)
Ø    Ranks behind senior debt in order of priority on any liquidation.
Ø    The terms of the subordinated debt are usually less stringent than senior debt.
Ø    Repayment is usually required in one ‘bullet’ payment at the end of the term.

Ø   Typical maturity is 8-10 years
Ø    Since subordinated debt gives the lender less security than senior debt, lending costs are typically higher.
Ø    An increasingly important form of subordinated debt is the high yield bond, often listed on US markets.
Ø    They are fixed rate, publicly traded, long-term securities with a looser covenant package than senior debt though they are subject to stringent reporting requirements.
Ø    High yield bonds are not prepayable for the first five years and after that, they are prepayable at a premium (Call premiums)
Ø    SEC requires the Issuer of these bonds to be rated by two independent agencies (Moody’s and S&P)
Ø    Subordinated Debt represent 15-25% of total Capital
  Total Debt (including both the Senior and Sub debt represent 5.0x – 6.0x of historic EBITDA.
Private Equity
Ø    Ranks at the bottom of the “waterfall” in order of priority on any liquidation.
Ø     Equity represent 20-35% of total Capital
Ø  Capital Markets: Types of Financing
Estimate Debt Capacity

Ø    The next step is to estimate the amount of debt that the company can take on.
Ø    The financial statements should make provisions for interest and debt costs.
Ø    The company can only bear debt to the extent that it has available cash flows. Note that all existing debt will need to be refinanced.  When modelling (Equity or Debt investors) the financing assumptions  used are according to market conditions, industry characteristic and company specific issues. Set out below are some parameters that will influence financing considerations for the model:
§    Minimum interest cover (times)
§    Total debt/EBITDA (times)
§    Senior debt repayment (in years)
§    Mezzanine debt repayment (in years)
§    Senior debt interest rate
§    Subordinated interest rate
§    Mezzanine finance exit IRR
Buyout Benefits
         Tax savings
        Stepped up asset base.
         Approximately half of the companies involved in LBOs stepped up their asset base in 1980's (Kaplan, Journal of Financial Economics, 1989)
        Tax shields from interest payments.
         One should realize, however, that these benefits should be relatively low when all of the costs and benefits are factored in. Most likely the LBO companies do not have the optimal capital structure in the first few years after the LBO - why would they otherwise not keep those high debt levels?
Advantages include the following:
         Management incentives,
         Better alignment between owner and manager objectives,
         Tax savings from interest expense and depreciation from asset write-up,
         More efficient decision processes under private ownership,
         A potential improvement in operating performance, and
         Serving as a takeover defense by eliminating public investors
Disadvantages include the following:
         High fixed costs of debt raises firm’s break-even point,
         Vulnerability to business cycle fluctuations and competitor actions,
         Not appropriate for firms with high growth prospects or high business risk, and
         Potential difficulties in raising capital.



Tuesday, 4 June 2013

MUTUAL FUNDS


What are Mutual Funds?
Ä    Mutual funds are open-ended investments that are professionally managed and consist of a variety of investment instruments including stocks, bonds, options, commodities, and money market securities.
Ä    Diversification provides greater safety and reduces risk.
Ä    Mutual funds are long-term investments.
Ä    Mutual funds are a type of investment that takes money from many investors and uses it to make investments based on a stated investment objective.
Ä    Each shareholder in the mutual fund participates proportionally (based upon the number of shares owned) in the gain or loss of the fund.

Why do People Invest in Mutual Funds?
Ä Mutual funds offer investors an affordable way to diversify their investment portfolios.
Ä Mutual funds allow investors the opportunity to have a financial stake in many different types of investments.
Ä These investments include: stocks, bonds, money markets, real estate, commodities, etc…
Ä Individually, an investor may be able to own stock in a few companies, a few bonds, and have money in a money market account. Participation in a mutual fund, however, allows the investor to have much greater exposure to each of these asset classes.
Ä Most mutual funds are professionally managed by an investment expert known as a portfolio manager.
Ä This individual makes all of the buying and selling decisions for the fund.
Ä There are thousands of different mutual funds in the United States.
Ä This provides investors with many options to help them achieve their investment objectives.

Basic Mutual Fund Categories
Mutual Funds can be divided into four basic categories based upon the funds investment objective.
These categories are:
1.      Money Market Mutual Funds
2.      Stock Mutual Funds
3.      Index Funds
4.      Bond Mutual Funds
5.      Balanced Mutual Funds

Money Market Mutual Funds
§ This is the most conservative type of mutual fund.
§ The goal is to maintain the $1 value of its shares while providing income.
§ Invests in high-quality, short-term securities such as certificates of deposit, U.S. Treasury Bills, and U.S. Treasury Notes.
§ MMMF’s are an appropriate place for savings.
§ These funds have typically offered higher interest rates than bank savings accounts.
§ Money market mutual funds are not insured by the FDIC.

Stock Mutual Funds
§ Type of fund that invests in stocks.
§ These funds are also known as equity funds.
§ There are many different types of stock mutual funds.
§ Some of the most common include:
§ Large-cap funds, mid-cap funds, small-cap funds, income funds, growth funds, value funds, blend funds, international funds, and sector funds.

Index Funds
§   These are mutual funds whose holdings aim to track the performance of a specific stock market index.
§   The most common index fund tracks the S&P 500. These index funds invest in the exact stocks (and in the same percentages) as those found in the S&P 500.
§   Index funds also track bonds, real estate, and other types of assets.
§   These funds are lower cost than other types of funds.

Bond Mutual Funds
·         Type of mutual fund that invests in bonds.
·         There are different types of bond mutual funds.
·         Typically, bond mutual funds have the objective of providing stable income with minimal risk.
Types of Bond Mutual Funds

1.      Short, Intermediate, and Long-Term U.S. Bond Funds
2.      Short, Intermediate, and Long-Term Corporate Bond Funds
3.      Municipal Bond Funds
4.      High-Yield (junk) Bond Funds

Balanced Mutual Funds
Ä These are also known as hybrid funds.
Ä These mutual funds invest in stocks, bonds, and money markets.
Ä These are very diversified mutual funds. The stock portion of the fund provides the potential for capital appreciation, while the bond and money market portion provide income.
The Mutual Fund Prospectus
This is a legal document which describes the investment objective of the fund, the manner in which the fund is administered and operated, the fees and other pertinent information
The prospectus should be read thoroughly before making an investment decision.

Load v. No Load Mutual Funds
 mutual fund that charges a commission to cover its administrative costs is called a load fund.
front-end load charges the load when the shares are purchased, while a back-end load charges the load when the shares are sold.
 no-load mutual fund doesn’t charge a purchase or sales commission.



DIVIDEND POLICY

DIVIDEND POLICY
Firm has 2 choices
n  Pay dividend
n  Reinvest funds instead of paying out
Dividend policy is the time pattern of dividend payout
Should the firm pay out a large percentage or small percentage of profits and when?

Life Cycle of Dividend Policy



THE IRRELEVANCE OF DIVIDEND POLICY
Investors only care about total returns…

n  Not how they are divided between dividends and capital gains

n  Dividends are merely a financing decision

n  Only important driver of value is future earnings power
CLIENTELE EFFECT
Some investors prefer low dividend payouts and will buy shares in those companies that offer low dividend payouts

Some investors prefer high dividend payouts and will buy shares in those companies that offer high dividend payouts
Implications of Clientele Effect
What do you think will happen if a firm changes its policy from a high payout to a low payout?

What do you think will happen if a firm changes its policy from a low payout to a high payout?

If this is the case, does dividend POLICY matter?
FACTORS FAVOURING LOW PAYOUT
Tax
STC = 12.5%                   CGT = 10%

retentions lead to capital gains à lower tax

if no +ve NPV projects = free cash flow
(a) pay dividend
if personal < corporate tax rate
(b) invest in short term instruments
 if personal > corporate tax rate
FACTORS FAVOURING HIGH PAYOUT
Desire for current income
§  ‘Widows and orphans’
§  Shares with relatively high degree of safety and dividend income

Uncertainty resolution
§  ‘Bird in hand’ theory
§  Dividends are less risky than capital gains

INFORMATION CONTENT OF DIVIDENDS
n   Asymmetric information – managers have more information about the health of the company than investors

n   Changes in dividends convey information
n  Dividend increases
n Management believes it can be sustained
n Signal of a healthy, growing firm

n  Dividend decreases
n Management believes it can no longer sustain the current level of dividends
n Signal of a firm that is having financial difficulties
LINTNER’S STUDY (1956)
1.         Firms set target dividend payout ratios.

2.         They change dividends to match long-term sustainable shifts in earnings.

3.         Managers increase dividends only if they feel they can be maintained.

4.         Managers are more concerned about dividend changes than about levels of dividends. WHY?
Academic Thinking on Dividend Policy
Dividend payout ratio should primarily reflect

n  Expected capital requirements
n (above expected operating cash flow)

n  Riskiness of the business
n (variability of cash flow)

n  Target capital structure
n (also partly related to risk)

n  Availability and cost of outside capital
How does theory measure up to reality?
§  Models versus Perceptions.

§  Academia makes provision for broad range of dividend theories.

§  Problem is no single theory has been proven to hold up in the market over extended periods.

§  Current prevailing view is that signalling (information content) and clientele effects are observable but true driver is market sentiment vis-à-vis growth and safety.
Alternative: Share Buybacks
§  Buyback shares
v  Tender offer – company states a purchase price and a desired number of shares
v  Open market – buys shares in the open market
§  Reduces cash and equity
§  Simple method for changing capital structure
§  Value of the firm will be the same regardless of whether dividend paid or shares repurchased

Common Rationales
n  Deploy excess cash
n (shortage of viable investments)
n  To increase share price
n (management believes shares underpriced)
n  Replace cash dividends
n (possible tax advantages)
n  Prevent dilution of earnings
n (enhance EPS, or prevent reduction in EPS caused by exercise of share options)
n  Rationalize capital structure
n (Higher D/E can be sustained)

Current US Situation
§  Historically, dividend paying stocks favoured. (Quarterly payments expected from “good” companies)

§  WHY?

§  Move to growth stocks in last two decades, especially with advent of technology and IT sector.

§  IT firms actually penalised for paying good dividends to shareholders.

§  After bull markets of last few years, companies sitting on large cash reserves (if no profitable opportunities exist, pay out to shareholders?)


Current issues favouring payout?
§  Bush regime pushing through tax cuts (lower tax rates to apply to 2010 and divs not taxed in hands of shareholders)

§  Scepticism concerning accounting profits. (Enron, et al)

§  Current volatility in markets means share holders desire safety, which can be accomplished by paying certain stream of dividends versus uncertainty of future share prices.

Current issues against payout?
§  Emergence of more small-cap firms, high on growth but low on cash. (Fama and French, 2001)

§  Buybacks preferred over dividends. (discretionary versus compulsory)

§  Academic theory – irrelevance of dividends

§  Future uncertainty (war, oil prices, etc.)


So are academic views upheld?
§  Given the above there is little evidence for signalling and the clientele effect.

§  Indeed, the prevalent driver of dividend policy in the US seems to be sentiment as proposed by Baker and Wurgler (2002).

What is the South African situation?
§  Bhana (1991) finds indications that announcements of dividends have significant impact on share pricing in the ‘direction’ of the announcement. [positive (negative) announcement – increase (decrease)]

§  Therefore strong proof that information content holds for SA.

§  Importantly, overreaction hypothesis also holds – market reacts ‘correctly’ for positive announcement but overreacts for negative announcements.